You Only Get One Chance To Make Seven Trillion Impressions

This year, publishers worldwide will serve more than seven trillion display ads

Those ads will be sold by hundreds of thousands of publishers, more than 400 ad networks, and a growing number of DSPs.  To make matters worse, the amount of online advertising inventory is  growing at rates of more than 50% year over year as mobile devices and 4G help skyrocket the number of Web-connected devices.

 2012 alone could add three trillion impressions to the pile of inventory that has to be sold.

It shows no sign of slowing down. In 2010, we passed five billion Web-connected devices. By 2017, that number is expected to be 17 billion.

If you are a publisher or salesperson in media today, you are faced with the most strategic question of all: How on earth can you possibly differentiate yourself in a world of nearly unlimited inventory?

If inventory is created equal, then creating professionally produced content against the backwash of auto-generated content farms is a losing proposition

So what’s a lonely publisher to do? I believe the answer lies with publishers overhauling their strategies in three key areas:

1.     Targeting

2.     Application-Rich Ads

3.     Site Design

Targeting: The Silver Bullet that Always Misses
The real renaissance around targeting has yet to begin, despite the fact that most publishers would prefer to talk about colonoscopies than their targeting technology.

Targeting has always been a dirty word because of three issues: privacy, data overload, and regulatory concerns. These challenges have served to obfuscate the real problem: Most advertisers don’t know how to take full advantage of targeting.

If publishers ever get serious about solving the privacy issue, they could shift their focus to how to responsibly use targeting to transform user experience (Welcome back, Mr. Rothenberg. I’m still waiting to debate the issue with you).

The real magic in targeting will come when the Ph.D.s and designers come together to solve two problems:

1.     How do you sift through the Petabytes of data, and focus on the few data points that really move the needle? (Hint: we need less data, not more.)

2.     How do we create ads that dynamically leverage the targeting? (Tumri and Teracent — now part of Google — made a good leap forward here, but there is much more still to be done.)

Application-Rich Ads: Creating Immersive Experiences
Publishers also need to start building not just unique content, but unique experiences.

These experiences would offer advertisers a set of capabilities that are deeply integrated with their websites, and differentiate their inventory. (Full disclosure: I am an investor in and board member of Adventive, which is pursuing this idea.)

Here are a few examples of how I think app-rich ads and publisher sites could combine to create great experiences:

·       Nike and Men’s Fitness could partner to offer ads that let you select a workout while at the gym, and then expands into a 20 or 30 minute interactive workout video. It could give you a beat, some encouragement, and most importantly, help overcome how incredibly boring the gym really is.

·       Elle magazine and Prada could partner to take you on a virtual tour of the sfashion show, and even let you upload your photo to show how the haute couture  would look on you (spoiler alert: really, really, really tight)

The combination of broadband, HTML5/Flash, two-way interactivity, and new mobile devices could enable a set of ads that put even the best TV ads to shame.

Re-thinking Site Design:
Sadly, the new iPad-centric newspaper The Daily represents the first major innovation in content presentation in nearly a decade.

Publishers have taken for granted how their consumers want to consume their content.

The rise of tablets and mobile computing means not only rethinking the format, but rethinking the content creation itself.

An Unholy Partnership With Holy Results
Publishers and their online advertising technology partners are forever inextricably linked. Their futures both rest on a single goal: figuring out how to use technology, to fight technology.

Sony PlayStation Network suffering outages – again

This sounds familiar, but it’s true again today. Sony’s PlayStation Network is reportedly down, and many users can’t log in at all.

Earlier this month, the PlayStation Network went down for several hours, reportedly due to work by a hacker group. It’s not clear if that is the same case this time, or if it’s due to maintenance issues. Additionally unfortunate is that Sony hasn’t said anything about when this roadblock might be cleared. On the Official PlayStation blog, it only says:

We’re aware certain functions of PlayStation Network are down. We will report back here as soon as we can with more information.

Until then, users trying to access PSN on a PlayStation 3 and similar devices for the purpose of using online games or apps (i.e. Netflix, Music Unlimited, Hulu Plus, etc.) will be unable to do so.

Have you had trouble accessing the PlayStation Network today?

Amazon rumored to release Samsung-built tablet this summer

Things are certainly about to get more heated between Apple and Samsung (along with Amazon) this summer if this rumor turns out to be true. That rumor is that Amazon will be releasing a Samsung-built tablet in a few months.

According to Peter Rojas, the former editor of Engadget who is now over atGDGT, it’s already an “open secret that Amazon is working on an Android tablet,” and he is “99%” sure that Samsung is responsible for the hardware.

It’s got to be an Android tablet, but Honeycomb already seems out of the running as Amazon will likely utilize “Android as a base upon which to build a totally customized experience that tightly integrates Amazon services.” There aren’t any other specifics as to processors,

However, we could probably assume this is a 7-inch slate, which could end up looking like another Samsung Galaxy Tab, but also more like Barnes & Noble’s Nook Color. The latter is basically either a tricked-out e-book reader or a very simple tablet. Nevertheless, the Nook Color is still a tablet in some sense, making it the most likely base idea and competitor for Amazon’s new tablet. The name “Kindle Color” might be too obvious, but I wouldn’t be surprised if that’s exactly what it turns out to be.

Verizon to eliminate 1 year Contract Option

Verizon customers interested in signing a one-year contract (as opposed to the standard two) should lock in their selections now; the company has confirmed that it is eliminating the one-year contract option as of April 17.

Verizon claims the policy change is taking place because the “greater majority of customers sign up for a two-year contract.”

The nation’s largest wireless provider (at least until that AT&T/T-Mobile deal is approved) previously offered users the ability to sign one-year contracts or contract extensions in lieu of the standard two-year agreement. Customers who opted for the one-year contract were still able to purchase new equipment at a discount, albeit a lesser discount than the subsidized two-year agreements.

In an email to BGR, Verizon reiterated that its contract-free month-to-month plans would still be available to consumers.

Meanwhile, according to draft circulars obtained by DroidLife, Verizon may be introducing a new month-to-month prepaid plan that offers users unlimited voice and text for $50 a month. Data will cost extra (reportedly $30 a month for unlimited data).

AT&T recently increased the early-upgrade price on some of its smartphones and feature phones.

Google Gets Green Light From Justice Department for Travel Acquisition

Google’s purchase of ITA Software, a travel and airline software company, has been given a thumbs-up by the U.S. Department of Justice — with a few important stipulations.

The DOJ had subjected the deal to some eight months of scrutiny to determine whether the search giant’s foray into travel and flight search might pose antitrust issues.

The sale was first made known to the public via media reports about a year ago, and Google confirmed the acquisition in July 2010

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ITA‘s flight search technology powers the company’s public airfare search engine, Matrix. Its QPX airfare shopping system is used by airlines and travel distributors around the world, and the company is also offering a new airline passenger reservation system.

Since ITA’s software powers many other businesses, the DOJ is requiring Google to continue “to develop and license travel software, to establish internal firewall procedures and to continue software research and development.” QPX and ITA’s other travel search products will continue to be licensed to other companies, even companies that might be competing with whatever travel search app or apps Google might introduce.

In this way, the Department hopes to keep competition for travel search fair. Department reps said that the original deal terms “would have substantially lessened competition among providers of comparative flight search websites in the United States, resulting in reduced choice and less innovation for consumers.”

Looks like the Google juggernaut continues…

Google Fiber Marketing Plan; free to schools, available to public in 2012

Google detailed on Wednesday its Google Fiber Internet service, which will launch first in Kansas City, Kan., promising free broadband Web access for schools and speeds 100 times faster than the current average.

“In about 1995, 15 years ago roughly, everyone was living on 56 kilobits, and it was awful,” said Patrick Pichette, Google’s chief financial officer. “And then somebody invented a 5-meg modem, and everybody was saying, what are you going to do with 5 megs. … Think what you’re going to do with a gigabit; 1,000 megabits.”

Pichette spoke before a packed auditorium at Kansas City’s Wyandotte High School about the possibilities for consumers with 1-gigabit, fiber-optic connection. Also on hand were Google’s vice president of access services, Milo Medin; Kansas City, Kan., Mayor Joe Reardon; and Kansas Gov. Sam Brownback.

The anouncement was streamed live on Google’s YouTube channel.

Speaking before a crowd that looked to be made up mostly of adults despite taking place in a high school, Gov. Brownback envisioned doctors at the University of Kansas Medical Center using such high speeds to monitor patients over the Web, rather than having to bring people in for appointments.

Medin and Pichette said the “ultra-fast” connections could lead to technologies not yet developed or even imagined.

Mayor Reardon said his son was excited about the prospect of being able to play video games online with friends without interruption.

“He hugged me; he’s a PS3 gamer, and he said, ‘You mean it’s not going to freeze up on me anymore? You need to get that done tomorrow,’ ” Reardon said, eliciting laughs from the audience.

But although Kansas City, Kan., has been selected as Google Fiber’s launchpad, an exact launch date has not been set, Medin said.

“We’re not exactly sure until we get the engineering and planning done but [are] hoping to offer service in 2012,” he said, likely disappointing the mayor’s son.

One detail Google has yet to get into for its Google Fiber service is just how much it will cost consumers. But once Google does roll out its broadband service, the differences in speed will be impressive, Pichette said.

“Speed matters, speed matters immensely,” he said. “Speed is like oxygen; when you have it you take it for granted. Once you don’t have it, you realize it’s everything.”

Although Kansas City, Kan., is set to be the first to get Google Fiber service, the plan is to roll it out to more cities and get the nation up to broadband speed. Most U.S. homes currently paying for high-speed Internet connections are receiving data at less than 10 megabits a second.

iPad2 – What Recession?

iPad2 sells out proving the power of watching customers

iPad2 first weekend sales data
– 400,000 to 500,000 iPad 2s sold this weekend estimated Gene Munster and his team at Piper Jaffray (note: they overestimated first weekend sales of iPad 1 by 100%)
– 300,000 iPad 1s sold in first weekend in 2010
– iPad 2s sold out on day 1 (unlike last year which sold out over the weekend)
– Deutsche Bank’s Chris Whitmore reported his team called 100 stores (50 Apple Stores, 20 Best Buy and Wal-Mart and others) and got same result as Munster’s team at Piper Jaffray – 100% stock out rate

Data on iPad2 buyers
– 70% of iPad2 buyers were new to iPad (that’s significant and testimony to the impact of the user experience of the first iPad)
note: 23% of iPhone 4 buyers were new to the iPhone at launch
– 51%/49% Mac/PC uers (iPad is extending Apple’s reach beyond its own “ecosystem”
note: 74%/26% original iPad 1 Mac/PC user ratio
– 47% buying a 3G model (meaning they had both Wifi and 3G capability to connect)
– 24% own a Kindle
– 63% of those who own a Kindle plan to use both
– 6% plan to read books with their iPad
– The vast majority plan to surf the web, check e-mail and watch video with their iPad (and play games)

So what is next?  Stay tuned….

How Amazon has outsmarted the music industry (and Apple)

What Apple took away, Amazon has restored.  

I’m talking, of course, about Lala, the pioneering digital music service that Apple purchased in December 2009 and shut down more than a year ago. The first thing Apple did, almost immediately after purchasing the company, was to disable its Music Mover feature, which allowed Lala members to upload their personal music collections to a cloud-based locker where they could play it from any web browser.

Yesterday, with the double-barreled launch of its Cloud Drive storage service and the tightly linked Cloud Player, Amazon brought that capability back to a mass audience. They’ve executed their strategy brilliantly, and they’ve painted the recording industry and their archrival Apple into a corner.

As far as I’m concerned, Amazon just moved the needle significantly on the music industry. Yes, the recording companies are whining already. I have no doubt that legal teams from all of the major record labels are in war-room mode right now. But their legal case is nonexistent.   Why? No sharing? No legal case.

For the full story:

http://www.zdnet.com/blog/bott/how-amazon-has-outsmarted-the-music-industry-and-apple/3074

Amazon cloud Drive Announced….

Amazon on Tuesday launched cloud Drive and Cloud Player for Web and Android—
3 Services that allow you to store music in a repository and play on the Web and smartphones.
Among the key points:
  • You can upload your library.
  • Anyone that bought an Amazon MP3 can get 20GB for free.
  • Mac and PC compatible.
  • On Android, the Cloud Player is an update to the Amazon MP3 app.
  • Everyone starts with 5GB of Cloud Drive storage.
  • Cloud Drive uses Amazon Web Services S3.
  • Plans start at 20GB for $20 a year and basically run $1 a year per GB.

With the move Amazon gets the jump on other services that are likely from Apple and Google.  The Cloud Drive is very easy to use. It’s essentially the consumerization of Amazon Web Services..

More details at:

http://www.zdnet.com/blog/btl/amazon-debuts-cloud-drive-music-industry-whines-the-screen-that-will-end-up-in-court/46704?tag=nl.e539